الفهرس 
المقدمةيوجد فقط 14 صفحة متاحة للعرض العام
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المستخلص
Summary
Exports is well known as the key for achieving economic development considering the fact that it is the main source of hard currencies required for both financing economic development programs, and adjusting balance of trade. One of the main export crops that play a significant role in providing hard currencies is cotton. Therefore, boosting its exports is a principal goal that the Government of Egypt seeks to achieve.
The research problem is that the current situation of Egyptian cotton exports has been declining over the last two decades. Moreover, disruptions occurred in some of the quantities exported to some of the major importing markets, and they were tiny small quantities compared to capacity of such markets.
This study aimed at identifying the economics of Egyptian cotton exports through investigating the situation of its exports, its competitive position in the major world markets, the main factors and economic variables affecting its exports.
To achieve that, this study depended on secondary data published by national and international institutions, in addition to filed data collected using a questionnaire that was distributed to cotton exporting companies. Both descriptive and statistical methods were applied for the purpose of data analysis. This study comprises five chapters. The first chapter is the introduction that involves the study problem, objectives, methodology, sources of data, and the review of literature.
The second chapter presented the economics of cotton production and consumption in Egypt. The third chapter presented the economics of Egyptian cotton exports. The fourth
clover rotation ranked fifth, thus had a great impact on farmers’ decision to grow the more profitable crops.
The total value of cotton exports measured in current prices during the studied period recorded an annual increase that reached L.E72.30 million, representing 4.2% of the average value estimated at L.E1718 million. On the other hand, the total value of cotton exports measured in constant prices during the same period recorded an annual decline that reached L.E16.20 million, representing 2.6% of the average value estimated at L.E617 million.
In addition, the studied supply response of cotton on the level of the country revealed that the critical independent factors affecting the planted area, as the dependent variable, involve the price of cotton in the previous year (as a function of expected price), and the relative price between cotton and wheat, which indicates that wheat is amongst the most important competitive crop to cotton during the rotation.
The second chapter investigates the economics of cotton consumption in Egypt. It was found that the domestic consumption of cotton has been declining at an annual rate of 157.10 thousand centars representing 3.4% of the average consumption estimated at 4639 thousand centars during the studied period. This can be attributed to the tendency towards using synthetic fibers as an alternative to cotton in textile and clothes’ manufacturing, in addition to importing cheaper short-stable cottons and weavings for manufacturing public textile and clothes.
The study also investigates the evolution in cotton stocks during the same period, and that it has been increasing at an annual rate
that reached about 89.30 thousand centars. However, domestic supply (production + stock) of cotton has been decreasing at an annual rate of 69.70 thousand centars.
By studying the major extra-fine cotton consuming countries during the studied period, Egypt ranked first where it consumes about 41.80% of the world consumption, followed by India, the Soviet Republics, China, and finally the USA.
The third chapter, presented the economics of Egyptian cotton exports, indicates the deterioration of the relative importance of raw cotton exports in relation to the total exports of raw material that declined from 72% during 1986 to reach 54% in 2002.
The studied impact of exchange that the quantity exported has exchange rate during the studied net revenue per feddan due to the cotton. This might be due to the cotton exports.
rate on cotton exports reveals not been influenced by the period despite the increase in increase in farm-gate prices of influences of other factors on
The study indicates that Egypt’s cotton exports have been fluctuating during the period (1986-2002) where it declined from a maximum of 2960 thousand centars during the season 1985/86 to reach a minimum of 333 thousand centars during the season 1991/92. The reasons of such drastic decline involve the ceasing of exports to the Soviet Union after dismantling, the decline in quantities exported to East European countries, in addition to some of the governmental policies that halted cotton exports in some seasons. It was then noted that cotton exports started to increase again to reach about 2139 thousand centars during the season 2001/02. The decline in both the quantity and
value of cotton exports proved to be insignificant during the studied period.